Loja vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALH
0 - 2
LOJ
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LOJ
3 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 1
LOJ
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LOJ
9 - 0
RIV
78%
13%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DHE
1 - 2
LOJ
15%
22%
64%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
MAL
16%
22%
62%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 0
VEL
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
UDS
48%
25%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ATA
2 - 1
VEL
34%
25%
42%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 0
RIV
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |