Loja vs UD Melilla B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HUE
2 - 4
LOJ
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 1
LOJ
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LOJ
4 - 0
ALQ
76%
15%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 2
LOJ
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UDM
0 - 0
MAR
18%
21%
60%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 0
UDM
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
UDM
1 - 2
RON
51%
23%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
UDM
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
UDM
4 - 1
HUE
23%
23%
54%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +3 |