Loja vs River Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+226%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOJ
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LOJ
3 - 0
RON
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 0
LOJ
31%
26%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LOJ
5 - 0
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UDS
0 - 1
LOJ
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
River Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
CDR
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 0
RIV
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
CDE
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
5 - 3
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 2
MAR
22%
22%
55%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |