Loja vs Melistar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
LOJ
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LOJ
2 - 2
ATA
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HUE
0 - 3
LOJ
33%
26%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LOJ
2 - 1
ALH
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALM
3 - 0
LOJ
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Melistar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 1
RJA
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ANT
7 - 1
MEL
54%
20%
27%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 4
PAL
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 0
INT
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
GIM
3 - 4
MEL
7%
12%
82%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |