Loja vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 1
LOJ
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 2
ARR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
LOJ
84%
12%
4%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 0
SEV
24%
26%
51%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SRQ
4 - 1
LOJ
62%
24%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
ECI
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
3 - 2
MEL
51%
26%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
MEL
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |