Loja vs Berja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
LOJ
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LOJ
0 - 2
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LOJ
1 - 2
CFC
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 0
LOJ
16%
21%
64%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LOJ
1 - 0
ARE
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Berja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BER
2 - 0
CEL
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARE
0 - 0
BER
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BER
2 - 1
MON
49%
23%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ATA
1 - 0
BER
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BER
1 - 2
CDM
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |