Loja vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
LOJ
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
LOJ
3 - 2
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
28%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
LOJ
74%
16%
9%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
HUE
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALH
2 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
MOT
38%
28%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAZ
0 - 0
MAN
32%
28%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAL
32%
26%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 2
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |