Loja vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
HUE
4 - 1
LOJ
55%
21%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LOJ
4 - 1
VEL
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CDT
3 - 0
LOJ
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LOJ
4 - 1
PAL
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HUE
3 - 0
LOJ
34%
23%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAL
4 - 2
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ANT
2 - 0
MAL
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 0
TOR
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CDE
0 - 1
MAL
73%
18%
9%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 1
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |