Loja vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LOJ
3 - 1
JUV
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RJA
1 - 0
LOJ
67%
21%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LOJ
2 - 1
ANT
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 1
LOJ
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MEL
60%
19%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 0
RJA
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ANT
0 - 2
MAL
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAL
3 - 0
PAL
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 3
MAL
19%
19%
63%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MAL
3 - 1
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |