LoPa vs SalPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
73.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LoPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GRI
8 - 1
LPA
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LPA
0 - 3
KLU
6%
13%
81%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ESP
7 - 1
LPA
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
LPA
0 - 5
EKE
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FCE
4 - 0
LPA
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SalPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 3
FCE
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GRI
1 - 4
SAL
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
AIF
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
SAL
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 0
BK4
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |