LoPa vs PPJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
63.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LoPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EKE
8 - 0
LPA
92%
7%
2%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LPA
0 - 13
FCE
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
LPA
1 - 5
BK4
15%
22%
63%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
LPA
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
AIF
3 - 1
LPA
87%
10%
3%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |