Lohfelden vs Bad Hersfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lohfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BRA
2 - 2
LOH
8%
17%
75%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
LOH
4 - 3
VFU
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
SGH
1 - 5
LOH
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
LOH
4 - 1
VFB
45%
26%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
VFU
2 - 2
LOH
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BHE
1 - 2
SGH
21%
23%
57%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
VIK
0 - 0
BHE
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
BHE
3 - 1
FRA
15%
21%
65%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +5 |