Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
CD Logroñés vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
HER
1 - 0
LOG
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
LOG
3 - 0
CDT
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1972 |
VIL
2 - 0
LOG
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
CUL
3 - 2
LOG
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
LOG
1 - 1
GIM
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
VIL
3 - 0
TOR
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1972 |
VIL
2 - 0
LOG
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
GIR
2 - 0
VIL
47%
29%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
VIL
2 - 1
ADC
69%
20%
12%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1972 |
VIL
3 - 0
ELD
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |