Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-1
CD Logroñés vs Calella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
LOG
2 - 1
CDT
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 0
LOG
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1972 |
CAL
0 - 1
LOG
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
HER
0 - 0
LOG
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
LOG
2 - 0
RCF
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAL
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
CAL
2 - 2
LLE
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1972 |
CAL
0 - 1
LOG
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
ADC
0 - 2
CAL
33%
30%
37%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
CAL
2 - 1
GAN
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |