Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 4-3
CD Logroñés vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 1
LOG
31%
27%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
LOG
4 - 1
BIN
87%
10%
3%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
TOL
0 - 1
LOG
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
LOG
4 - 1
NUM
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
RUN
1 - 2
LOG
62%
22%
17%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
LAR
1 - 2
ALA
19%
27%
54%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
ALA
1 - 1
RAC
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
HUL
1 - 2
ALA
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
ALA
4 - 0
CAC
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ARE
1 - 2
ALA
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |