Logan Lightning vs Mitchelton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 2
LOG
55%
22%
24%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 1
LOG
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
EAS
6 - 0
LOG
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 1
QUE
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 3
LOG
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
MIT
26%
20%
54%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
MIT
4 - 1
GRA
62%
19%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MIT
2 - 2
ROC
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
EAS
4 - 3
MIT
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 2
MIT
59%
20%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |