Logan Lightning vs Holland Park Hawks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
40.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
IPS
3 - 2
LOG
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 1
UNI
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 0
LOG
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
LOG
0 - 3
ALB
50%
23%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 2
LOG
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Holland Park Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
HPH
1 - 2
GRA
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 2
HPH
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HPH
0 - 2
QUE
29%
20%
51%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
QUE
3 - 1
HPH
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
MIT
3 - 3
HPH
46%
22%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |