Logan Lightning vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
4 - 3
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
2 - 3
EAS
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 2
LOG
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
1 - 0
GOL
20%
19%
61%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 0
LOG
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GCK
0 - 1
EAS
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
GCK
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 1
GCK
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GCK
3 - 1
BRI
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 2
GCK
12%
16%
72%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |