Logan Lightning vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BRI
4 - 1
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ADE
1 - 0
LOG
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 3
LOG
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
GCK
2 - 2
LOG
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 4
QUE
7%
13%
80%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
BRR
1 - 0
CAP
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 4
MOR
13%
17%
71%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 3
CAP
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 3
GOL
12%
15%
73%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 3
EAS
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |