Lodigiani vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
LOD
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
LOD
69%
20%
12%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LOD
0 - 3
CRO
19%
25%
56%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
LOD
62%
23%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 1
AVE
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
56%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
5 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
AVE
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
JUS
0 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 2
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |