Lodigiani vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LOD
0 - 1
LAQ
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
PES
1 - 0
LOD
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
LOD
0 - 1
CAT
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 0
LOD
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
LOD
1 - 0
NOC
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 0
FER
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
SAS
4 - 1
CAS
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIR
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAS
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 2
CAS
58%
25%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |