Lodigiani vs Ilvamaddalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
16º
13º
19
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 63 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 49 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 44 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 32 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
19 | 30 |
18º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
53.5% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ANZ
2 - 2
LOD
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 2
LOD
31%
23%
47%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LOD
3 - 1
ULD
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GEL
4 - 0
LOD
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LOD
0 - 1
CYN
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ilvamaddalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ASI
4 - 2
OLB
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ASI
2 - 1
TRA
29%
22%
48%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PAG
2 - 0
ASI
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ASI
0 - 0
RMS
29%
25%
45%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ACD
1 - 1
ASI
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |