Lodigiani vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
LOD
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
LOD
0 - 0
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
LOD
1 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CRO
3 - 0
LOD
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
LOD
2 - 1
CAT
32%
26%
41%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAT
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
AVE
1 - 0
ARZ
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAS
29%
29%
43%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 0
ARZ
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ARZ
3 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |