Locarno vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 1
LOC
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BIE
0 - 2
LOC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
FCA
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LOC
3 - 0
KRI
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
LOC
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 3
WIN
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
YVE
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
KRI
2 - 1
WIN
37%
25%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 0
SCH
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SER
3 - 3
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |