Locarno vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
KRI
4 - 0
LOC
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
LOC
3 - 1
WOH
44%
27%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
CON
4 - 2
LOC
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NEX
4 - 1
LOC
76%
17%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LOC
0 - 0
CHI
19%
24%
58%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
WIN
0 - 2
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
WIN
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
WIN
0 - 2
NEX
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
LAU
2 - 2
WIN
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |