Locarno vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
RSZ
4 - 2
LOC
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LOC
0 - 2
SEE
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BEL
6 - 0
LOC
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LOC
0 - 2
STG
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LOC
0 - 1
ESC
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 2
GRA
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FCT
2 - 4
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 2
SEU
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
WIN
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 1
FCW
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |