Locarno vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LAU
2 - 1
LOC
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LOC
0 - 2
SIO
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WIN
1 - 1
LOC
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
LOC
0 - 2
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
LOC
1 - 0
MEY
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 2
FCL
25%
24%
52%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
FCL
5 - 1
CON
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
FCV
3 - 3
FCL
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCL
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FCL
2 - 2
KRI
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |