Locarno vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1993 |
CSC
2 - 1
LOC
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1993 |
LOC
0 - 1
CSC
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1993 |
FCL
3 - 0
LOC
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1993 |
LOC
1 - 4
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
LOC
3 - 0
DEL
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1993 |
FCL
4 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1993 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1993 |
FCL
3 - 0
LOC
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1993 |
CSC
0 - 2
FCL
26%
27%
48%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
FCL
4 - 0
WIL
66%
22%
12%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |