Locarno vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 3
BAS
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 1
LOC
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 3
LUG
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCV
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
LOC
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
LUG
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 3
LUG
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 2
THU
32%
25%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 0
LUG
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |