Locarno vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 1
LOC
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
YVE
3 - 0
LOC
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
LOC
1 - 5
CHI
35%
27%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 1
LOC
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
DEL
5 - 2
LOC
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LAU
4 - 0
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
FCV
3 - 2
LUG
69%
18%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 0
LAU
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 1
LOC
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SCH
3 - 0
LUG
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |