Locarno vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
LOC
1 - 4
FCL
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LAU
2 - 1
LOC
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LOC
0 - 2
SIO
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WIN
1 - 1
LOC
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
LOC
0 - 2
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
YFJ
1 - 0
FCV
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FCV
4 - 0
BAD
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
BJK
5 - 1
FCV
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
FCV
3 - 3
FCL
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCV
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |