Locarno vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EMM
1 - 3
LOC
19%
20%
61%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 2
LOC
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 5
LOC
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 1
LOC
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 2
FCS
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 1
FCT
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
FCS
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
2 - 0
FCT
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 5 | 27 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 0
FCT
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 1
CHA
66%
17%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |