Locarno vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LOC
3 - 0
KRI
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
LOC
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 2
LUG
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 1
LOC
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
LAU
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 4
STA
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
KRI
0 - 1
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SER
4 - 2
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |