Locarno vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
BAS
3 - 1
LOC
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
LOC
5 - 0
LAC
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
YOB
2 - 0
LOC
83%
12%
6%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 1
STG
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 5
NEX
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1986 |
STG
1 - 2
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
FCA
1 - 3
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |