Locarno vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DEL
2 - 1
LOC
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LOC
0 - 3
BEL
22%
24%
55%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
LUG
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
WOH
5 - 2
LOC
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
STA
5 - 2
LOC
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ETO
3 - 2
BIE
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SCB
1 - 2
ETO
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ETO
1 - 3
BEL
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
ETO
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 0
ETO
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |