Locarno vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LOC
2 - 2
NEX
17%
24%
59%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
3 - 1
LOC
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
LOC
2 - 0
LAU
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SER
2 - 0
LOC
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIL
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
CON
1 - 2
CHI
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
LAU
1 - 1
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
CON
3 - 2
SER
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
3 - 0
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
CON
3 - 3
DEL
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |