Locarno vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
FCM
5 - 2
LOC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
LOC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
YVE
1 - 1
LOC
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCA
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
3 - 3
BAD
78%
14%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
BAS
1 - 1
YVE
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |