Locarno vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 1
LOC
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
LOC
0 - 0
BEL
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
FCL
2 - 0
LOC
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1987 |
LOC
1 - 1
VEV
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
LAU
3 - 1
LOC
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1987 |
BAS
2 - 4
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
ZUR
3 - 2
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 4
NEX
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
FCW
1 - 2
BAS
43%
26%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |