Locarno vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BAD
1 - 1
LOC
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
LOC
3 - 0
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
FCM
5 - 2
LOC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
LOC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BAD
1 - 1
LOC
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 0
FCM
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
3 - 3
BAD
78%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAD
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 0
YVE
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |