Locarno vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
YVE
1 - 1
LOC
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCA
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1987 |
LOC
4 - 1
YOB
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +9 |
| 03 Jun. 1987 |
LAC
0 - 1
LOC
49%
22%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1987 |
LOC
3 - 5
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 3
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
FCM
4 - 1
BEL
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
FCW
2 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +7 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 2
LAU
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
STG
1 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |