Locarno vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1987 |
FCL
2 - 0
LOC
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1987 |
LOC
1 - 1
VEV
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
LAU
3 - 1
LOC
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
LOC
2 - 1
SER
16%
25%
59%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
GCZ
4 - 4
LOC
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1987 |
BEL
1 - 1
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
BEL
3 - 1
VEV
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 1
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
BEL
2 - 5
YOB
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1987 |
LAC
3 - 1
BEL
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |