Lobos ULMX vs CA Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
10º
10º
16
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ADP
6 - 2
LUL
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 2
GAV
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUL
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 0
LUL
72%
19%
10%
|
39 | 72 | 33 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 0
COL
51%
20%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CA Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
IRA
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
ZAC
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 1
COR
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
ZAC
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
REB
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |