Lobos ULMX vs Colima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
9º
7º
0
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 29 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 22 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 19 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 19 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 16 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
5 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 15 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 9 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 7 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
47% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
LUL
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 1
AGU
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 1
CAN
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IPC
1 - 0
LUL
70%
19%
12%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LUL
5 - 0
PDC
22%
24%
55%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
5 - 2
COL
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
IRA
7%
17%
77%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 6
RAF
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
MFC
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
COL
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |