Lobos BUAP vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 0
CAF
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 1
LOB
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 3
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 3
LOB
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
4 - 0
IRA
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 1
CAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VER
2 - 3
UDG
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 2
REB
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
2 - 1
REB
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDG
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |