Lobos BUAP vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 1
LOB
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LOB
2 - 0
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
REB
1 - 4
LOB
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
LOB
4 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
IRA
1 - 0
LOB
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 2
ORI
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 1
UDG
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
UDG
6 - 0
MER
23%
26%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
DOR
2 - 2
UDG
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 0
LEO
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |