Lobos BUAP vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
IRA
2 - 1
LOB
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 0
NEC
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
DOR
0 - 2
LOB
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 1
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
LOB
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 1
DUR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 1
UDG
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 2
VER
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
UDG
0 - 1
TIJ
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
IRA
3 - 1
UDG
51%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |