Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Lobos BUAP vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LOB
3 - 2
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 1
LOB
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
LOB
4 - 0
AGU
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 1
LOB
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LOB
2 - 2
DUR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TEC
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 2
TIJ
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 1
LOB
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 0
CAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TIJ
4 - 2
AGU
69%
21%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |