Lobos BUAP vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
UAT
1 - 5
LOB
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 5
LOB
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LOB
2 - 1
CAÑ
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 2
LOB
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
LOB
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 2
PAC
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 5
LOB
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ATS
2 - 1
PUE
36%
27%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 2
PUM
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |