Lobos BUAP vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
UDG
3 - 1
LOB
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LOB
2 - 0
DEL
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
UAT
0 - 0
LOB
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 5
ALE
32%
25%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 0
BAL
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
ATS
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
5 - 1
CAF
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 1
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
UDG
1 - 0
ALE
34%
30%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 5
ALE
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |