Lobos BUAP vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 0
BAL
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
LOB
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 0
LOB
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 1
CAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
2 - 1
VER
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
DEL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
LOB
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
UAT
3 - 1
ALE
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
4 - 1
BAL
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
PAC
2 - 3
ALE
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |